Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 5.019539 5.790670 6.639485 7.643000 8.797011 10.082608 11.623732
2024-12-15 4.109034 5.154971 6.403838 8.004518 10.001931 12.412992 15.546372
2024-12-22 3.293416 4.447414 5.927184 7.962997 10.691753 14.224984 19.152614
2024-12-29 2.905025 4.190767 5.948301 8.524660 12.206223 17.281642 24.821103
2025-01-05 2.545604 3.899385 5.860482 8.905686 13.517240 20.246234 30.829829
2025-01-12 2.184166 3.535046 5.598824 8.977159 14.372344 22.664428 36.406026
2025-01-19 1.790421 3.049405 5.069866 8.542923 14.368741 23.762869 40.100765
2025-01-26 1.628310 2.907025 5.054525 8.916172 15.693973 27.117053 47.886738
2025-02-02 1.533765 2.861174 5.186860 9.548354 17.533233 31.555617 58.128005
2025-02-09 1.390819 2.704421 5.099771 9.773635 18.677673 34.932195 66.958897
2025-02-16 1.255395 2.538913 4.969638 9.893906 19.634647 38.080022 75.787090
2025-02-23 1.095001 2.299221 4.663636 9.628274 19.807726 39.768849 82.032699
2025-03-02 0.939414 2.049428 4.310519 9.234604 19.706469 40.983332 87.670605
2025-03-09 0.858819 1.943805 4.233449 9.397666 20.772359 44.685081 98.985725
2025-03-16 0.756104 1.773728 3.996382 9.183503 21.005140 46.694601 107.005374
2025-03-23 0.724644 1.759003 4.093534 9.721865 22.972779 52.690968 124.707569
2025-03-30 0.682645 1.712899 4.113306 10.085876 24.597166 58.151639 142.000383
2025-04-06 0.623710 1.616390 4.002017 10.122949 25.457672 61.985779 156.032840
2025-04-13 0.539837 1.444091 3.684257 9.607785 24.900753 62.405858 161.836142
2025-04-20 0.515235 1.420495 3.728928 10.010422 26.697606 68.770132 183.454069
2025-04-27 0.506436 1.437502 3.878892 10.708426 29.358375 77.650468 212.863546
2025-05-04 0.476677 1.392355 3.860147 10.953751 30.856428 83.760044 235.834937
2025-05-11 0.444699 1.335813 3.802580 11.083945 32.060417 89.261317 257.964570